See if this can keep the forum more lively.
I have been away for the past 1 month so I judge purely based on grepostats and impression.
1. Black Legion - Swim
With their position, they won't swim unless there is conflict internally.
2. Venom 2.0 - Swim
Many of us know that if Venom went turtle, alliances will start having their own war, and Venom will survive and thrive once again. They will probably re-claim their top spot soon.
3. Victores - Swim
4. Truculence - Thread water
Inactivity is a serious problem for them. They will start swimming if they stop losing players, or they will start sinking from losing players.
5. Redwood Originals - Swim
Although they are too spreaded out, they still have a strong position and it will be tough for anyone to take them down.
6. League of Delos - Thread water
If they are not pacted with BL, and BL decides to take advantage of their war with Truc, they will start sinking.
7. Villainy - Sink
8. ERYS - Sink
9. S.M.T. - Sink
They will be in a totally different situation if their main players aren't busy in another world. This alliance have the potential to be solid, but they don't have the time for it.
10. Bones and Skulls - Thread water
I heard they're Venom's sister alliance? They have strong position for now, but they will not last.
11. Legends of Anarchy - Sink
Academy never works.
12. The Saints - Sink
Academy never works.