GHOST DIVISION-
Mega Sink, would be very surprised if they were still here a week after BP ends. They have already sent blind invites to just about half the world, and they already have an academy.
Phoenix Rising-
Float, almost reaching the alliance cap but the recruitment is closed so looks like no academy will be made here
Don't consider these guys an MRA right now, there seems smart enough that they will do alright.
Awoken Problem-
Float for now, don't know much about them but they seem to have the right idea for recruitment.
Impact- No comment
Lords of Conquest-
Sink, because they are not the strongest alliance in either of their two main oceans 44 and 45. They also have the lowest average points in the top 5, though maybe they joined a bit late. lol Looks like they are hiding pacts after what some other people here said