Myrmidons- have many members, recruit many members so what ever they lose they recruit so they will swim for a long time but sooner or later they will sink, once more people have conquest and once people in Myrmidons realize that they have no future+ when myrmidons run out of people to recruit.(please don't take it personal.)-so I guess sink
Wolfpack- Same think only quicker, their players are leaving already (so are Myrmidons but in much slower paste)- sink
Lacking Diplomacy- highest average, most bps, most conquests etc. -swim
Mealstrom- just like nodcrush said disorganization, not fighting back, keep changing the leader, and in space of 2 days lost 50+ members-sink really soon
Hellfire- same as nodcrush again don't really know much about them but they don't have any enemies (at least not big anyway) so they will swim for now- swim
Slightly Mean- don't know much about again but same as above they have no enemies jet so swim for now- swim to sink later
Aurora- high abs, many conquests( to enemies because many people chose to conquest any easy city they conquest enemies which isn't really hard because well they fight MRAs but you know what I mean)- swim
DELOS IMPERIUM- don't look like "elites" (hate using this word but it's easier to get my point across) but the point that they have much higher abp than dbp and that they have abp equal to their position they could get somewhere (I mean it's not usual to see this in MRAs now a days) unless some other alliance picks on them (you know who you are
)- swim
Kingdom of Heaven- couldn't agree more with nodcrush I heard about them now for the first time however I think most alliances are busy now so they will swim for now and than die- sink
Arganauts- should make some improvements and they could be good I would suggest taking LoH they have many cities some are probably good to take, LoH are also close to you and I don't think they would be big challenge, and also kick those players that are like 3-4 oceans away from your "core" they are useless to you.-swim for now
Legion of Heaven-spread out I don't see potential they will swim not but sink later
SPARTAN WARRIORS- many alliances are spread out but they are all over the map I can't see how they want to work together, get any cities or protect any cities, and when it come to WW they will have no chases at all- sink