So my prediction a month ago
1. PuJ - Swim - Solid core and some great players.
2. Bwnw - Swim - Solid crew and controlling thier core nicely, will be fun to see how they do long term vs the mega mra's
3. Tilt - Swim - Recruit enough and you will get some great players
4. SuF - Swim now, then merge into Puj
5. It - Float, 1/2 the alliance is ex vox and they collapsed once already
6. Tilt 2 - Float by eating tilt 3, then sink as it merges in tilt 1
7. SuB - Sink, will merge into the other 2 branches
8. VVV - Sink, just waiting for a push from Bwnw or Slackers and then will go
9. Slackers - Swim some newbies but some old hands, controlled expansion
10. HA - Float, had no interaction with them
So only ones I got a bit out was :-
5. IT - gone from float to swim
10. HA - Didnt know anything about them so went mid and now theyve gone.
Not gonna explain why as most of the reasons are the same as above
1 - Swim
2 - Swim
3 - Swim
4 - Float (will merge into PuJ)
5 - Float (will merge into tilt1)
6 - Swim
7 - Swim (New and in a good spot, has joined in the anti Bwnw hugging group tho)
8 - Float (giving my own alliance a float??? hmmm)
9 - Swim (will collapse at first push from a core alliance)
10 - Sink
Out of the top 3 I casn see something happening in the next month once the new world opens up I think those who havent invested a lot into this world will jump ship.