My Top 12:
1. Deus Ex Birema is the top alliance at this stage. With 49 members and over 100,000 abp they lead the abp rankings with double the nearest competition and are looking set to conquer O55
2. Republica looks to me like an MRA. Although a few of them have begun conquests they are near the alliance cap, which is the only reason for their high ranking. At 16,000 abp total they are unimpressive. I give this alliance 6 more weeks, only because I don't see any other force forming in O54.
3. Riot is my alliance, so I won't comment other than to say that we've got the second highest alliance average and had we not disbanded SL completely we'd have about as much abp as As Athens Burns and Ile Basilike. Looking forward to dominating O45 too!
4. As Athens Burns is the one alliance in the top 12 that I'm on the fence about. Their low alliance average, spread across 3 oceans and high member count makes me think they are an MRA, however on the other hand their ~50,000 abp as an alliance makes them appear as potent a force as any other alliance barring Deus Ex at this stage. I will keep an eye on this alliance in the future.
5. Grim Sleepers is the largest alliance in O44. Their low alliance average, low abp and high member count makes them an MRA in my book. I give them 4 weeks unless they can cut the fat.
6. THE IMMORTAL SLAYERS is an MRA at 145 members and a low average member count. Just over 10,500 abp as an alliance.
7. Inglorious Basterds is an ok alliance in O55 with ~20,000 abp, which is reasonable. In a weak ocean they would be ok, but due to the presence of Deus ex I predict them to fall from the rankings shortly.
8. Anonymous is another alliance that is ok but not great and would succeed in a weak ocean. I don't know the details of O56, but he fact that neither of their listed founders has attained more than 3,000 points makes me think that this alliance has no future.
9. Ile Basilike is an alliance that I am excited to watch. Although outnumbered by Grim Sleepers more than 3:1, their aggression and teamwork is apparent in the statistics. I envision their only troubles in conquering O44 will be producing enough culture to conquer all of the Grim Sleepers. Ranked #2 in abp at ~50,000, I expect these guys to rise steadily in the rankings.
10. Val Di Compare got off to a rough start after Kanga's disbandment. This appears to be a decent alliance in a highly competitive ocean. Their high dbp and decent abp indicates that they know how to fight, and I look forward to seeing what the future holds in O55.
11. Dark Sector-- low abp and located in O34. I know nothing else about these guys.
12. Legion of Chaos-- 9400 abp ranks them #11, I know nothing else about this alliance.