It's a little hard to rate the alliances at this stage, especially according to points. I'm going to rate their chances of survival. 1 being no chance, 10 being without a doubt.
1. REAL MADRID ELITE - 1st position through numbers. Not the lowest average in the top 12 though. I want these to survive just to prove people wrong. Plus it will add competition to O55. 4/10
2. Elite Legionnaires - Looking pretty good. Would like to see them go to war with the Dark Legion in O45. 9/10
3. Noxious Immortals - No comment.
4. CORE - Currently 1st in O44. Only time will tell as to whether they keep that spot. I reckon they'll merge with someone/someone will merge into them to keep it going. 6/10
5. The Dark Legion Strong in O45. Similar to my point about Elite. Hope they go to war. If they war with Elite, 5/10. If they don't, 8/10.
6. Rebels - Their council leader is 11 years old and has little experience in grepolis ; should be interesting. Don't know much else about them. Also, if they are 'rebels', they won't be following orders. 4/10
7. Dark Knights - Maybe some competition in O55 once they get their act together. 6/10
8. The Spartan Elite - Everyone always comments on an alliance with 'Spartan' in their name, for having 'Spartan' in their name. Doesn't really bother me. They seem to own O54 for now with no one looking like they'll compete in that ocean. Maybe we'll have to expand that way
7/10
9. Black Rising - 2nd in their primary ocean. Low average. If C.A.E. get their act together, they may be gone once people gain conquer. 5/10
10. C.A.E - 1st in O65, alright average. I know their leader from previous servers. If he commits to Mu, they should keep O65 theirs. 7/10
11. Macedonian Empire UA - Long Pact list. They have a sister alliance this early on. A member of this UA group (Union of Alliances?) which may help their survival. Their main ocean appears to be 44 which they aren't doing bad in (2nd with higher average than 1st). 5/10
12. swadian knights - Longer Pact List. Lowest average of top 12 (which they are a part of because of numbers). 3/10